- Drew Berquist - https://www.drewberquist.com -

Sanctions Alone Won’t Deter An Aggressor

What if months ago, before sanctions, when we pretty much knew Putin was going into Ukraine, we would have transfered a couple of squadrons of A-10 tank killer aircraft to the Ukrainians in a modern version of Lend-Lease? The Russians are bogged down now. How much worse would it be for them with Warthogs turning whole regiments of their armor into Swiss cheese with one pass?

Thus on the whole sanctions can be effective, but they are only part of the package. Biden found that out too late. Now we may have China to deal with. Let’s hope Biden has learned his lesson. However, not holding my breath.

FNC: “The U.S. must learn from its failed attempts to deter Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and refine its approach if it hopes to avoid similar Chinese aggression against Taiwan, experts told Fox News Digital.

Matthew McInnis from the Institute for the Study of War stressed that any sanctions will not prove effective unless they’re accompanied by a “full-spectrum campaign” that includes the threat of use of force, effective political and diplomatic maneuvers, information sharing and increased weapons supplies.”

“Economic sanctions simply do not work on their own. We did a great job of exposing the intelligence, the planning that Putin was doing, which obviously in a Taiwan scenario is going to be very critical about what we know and how we share what we know,” McInnis explained.

“The other issues is … it’s very clear that increased air defense capabilities and anti-armor – the things that have proven to be so effective for the Ukrainian forces – I think we need to take a little more risk in upping the air defense and anti-armor and anti-drone capabilities in a potential Taiwan scenario,” he added.

James Anderson, former undersecretary of defense for policy under former President Trump, comments, “If we’re talking about Taiwan, there are a lot of capabilities that can and should be strengthened with respect to their ability to defend themselves,” Anderson said. “We’ve been working with them for a long time, via the Taiwan Relations Act … we ought to be thinking of ways to very robustly re-interpret the Relations Act and provide assistance to Taipei.

“The key in the Indo-Pacific region is this series of bilateral relationships, and in the context of the Taiwan scenario, our most important bilateral treaty is going to be Tokyo,” he said. “The good news here is that Japan is acutely aware of what it means to them if Taiwan falls to the PRC, because then Japan will be very much economically at the mercy of Beijing and its potential ability to cut of Japan’s maritime lifelines.”